Back to Blog

Opendoor Just Lost $1.3 Billion in 2025 — Here's What That Tells You About Selling to an iBuyer

Richard Kastl
Feature image

The headlines broke in February 2026: Opendoor Technologies posted a $1.3 billion net loss for 2025. That’s up from a $392 million loss in 2024. Revenue fell to $4.37 billion, down from $5.15 billion the year before. The company sold just 11,791 homes in 2025 — a 15.7% decline year-over-year.

For a company that promised to revolutionize home selling with speed, simplicity, and certainty, those numbers raise a question every homeowner should be asking: If iBuyers can’t make money buying and flipping homes — where exactly did the profit go?

The short answer: your equity.


What Is an iBuyer, and Why Did the Model Sound So Good?

iBuyers like Opendoor, Offerpad, and Zillow Offers (now defunct) entered the real estate market with a compelling pitch: skip the stress of listing, showings, negotiations, and closing uncertainty. Get a cash offer in days, pick your closing date, and move on with your life.

For sellers facing a divorce, a job relocation, or an inherited property they didn’t want to manage — that pitch was genuinely appealing.

Here’s how it works: the iBuyer makes an automated offer on your home (using algorithms, not local expertise), buys it directly, makes light repairs, then relists it on the open market for a profit. The seller gets speed and certainty. The iBuyer gets the spread between what they paid and what the market will bear.

That spread is what funded the entire model. And for years, rising home prices masked just how much sellers were leaving on the table.

Not Sure If a Cash Offer or an Agent Is Right for You?

A top local agent can walk you through your real options — including how much more the open market might get you. Get matched for free.


The $1.3 Billion Question: Who Actually Paid for This?

Opendoor’s business model is simple to understand: buy low, sell high, move fast. The trouble is that real estate markets aren’t always cooperative.

When interest rates rose and buyer demand cooled in 2022-2023, Opendoor got stuck holding inventory it had bought at peak prices — and had to sell at losses. The company has been burning cash ever since, trying to recalibrate its pricing algorithm, tighten its underwriting, and reduce its transaction volume to only the homes where it can squeeze a margin.

In 2025, that meant:

Opendoor CEO Kaz Nejatian told investors the company is executing on a “four-step plan” toward breakeven by end of 2026. Adjusted EBITDA improved modestly, and the company claims its pricing is now more disciplined.

But here’s what “more disciplined pricing” actually means for sellers: Opendoor is offering even less relative to market value than before. Tighter margins on their end means wider gaps for you.


What iBuyers Actually Pay vs. What Agents Get You

Let’s get specific, because this is where the rubber meets the road.

Service fees: Most iBuyers charge 5–6% in service fees — comparable to traditional agent commissions. So the “convenience” isn’t actually cheaper. You’re paying the same percentage, but to a corporation instead of a local expert.

Below-market offers: Multiple studies have found that iBuyer offers typically come in 5–13% below what the open market would pay. On a $400,000 home, that’s $20,000 to $52,000 left on the table — before service fees.

Repair deductions: After accepting an iBuyer’s preliminary offer, sellers often receive a revised offer with deductions for repairs the iBuyer claims are needed. These deductions frequently exceed what a seller would actually spend if they listed traditionally.

No competition: When you list with a real estate agent, multiple buyers compete for your home, often driving the price above asking. With an iBuyer, you get one offer from one entity with no auction dynamic whatsoever.

A top local real estate agent creates competition. An iBuyer eliminates it by design — because competition is the enemy of their margins.

Find Out What Your Home Is Really Worth

A local agent can give you a free comparative market analysis and show you exactly what buyers are paying in your neighborhood right now.


When an iBuyer Might Still Make Sense

To be fair: iBuyers aren’t evil. There are legitimate scenarios where trading equity for convenience makes sense.

You need to move fast. If you’ve already accepted a job across the country and need to close in two weeks, an iBuyer can do that. A traditional sale typically takes 30–60 days.

The property is hard to show. Estates with difficult tenants, homes in disrepair, or sellers with health limitations sometimes benefit from the “no showings” model.

You’ve done the math and the gap is acceptable. Some sellers run the numbers — what would the open market realistically get? How long would that take? What are the carrying costs? — and decide the convenience premium is worth it.

The problem is that most sellers don’t run those numbers. They see “instant cash offer” and assume it’s competitive. Opendoor’s own financial results suggest otherwise.


The iBuyer Model at Scale: What the Numbers Reveal

Opendoor has now bought and sold over 294,000 homes since its founding. That’s an enormous sample size — and it tells us something important about how the economics work.

Even with that scale, even with algorithmic pricing, even with AI-powered inventory management, even with venture capital funding and billions in revenue — Opendoor cannot consistently profit from buying homes and reselling them.

If that’s true at industrial scale with every possible technological advantage, what does that tell you about the offer they made on your specific home?

Their algorithm is optimized for their profit, not yours. It factors in local comps, days on market, repair costs, and carrying costs — all weighted toward protecting Opendoor’s margin. Every dollar of margin they protect is a dollar that stays in their pocket instead of yours.


What a Real Estate Agent Does That an Algorithm Can’t

A skilled local agent doesn’t just enter your address into a database. They:

Opendoor’s NPS (Net Promoter Score) from sellers has been around 80 — that’s genuinely high, and it reflects that many sellers are satisfied with the experience. Speed and certainty have real value.

But satisfaction with a process isn’t the same as maximizing your outcome. Many sellers who used iBuyers and reported a good experience never knew what the open market would have paid.


The Bottom Line: What Opendoor’s Losses Tell Every Seller

Opendoor lost $1.3 billion in 2025 trying to make money in the gap between what sellers accepted and what buyers paid. They had sophisticated AI, a national team, and billions in capital — and they still couldn’t make that spread consistently profitable.

That should reframe how you think about the “convenience premium” they’re asking you to pay.

Before you accept any cash offer — from Opendoor, Offerpad, or anyone else — talk to a local real estate agent first. Get a comparative market analysis. Understand what your home could realistically sell for on the open market. Then make an informed decision.

You might still decide the speed is worth it. But you’ll decide with your eyes open, not because an algorithm made the choice feel inevitable.

Talk to a Top Local Agent Before You Decide

Get matched with an experienced real estate agent who knows your market inside and out. It's free, fast, and could be worth tens of thousands of dollars.

Richard Kastl

Richard Kastl

Real Estate Investor & Digital Entrepreneur

Richard Kastl has been a real estate investor since 2018 and is an entrepreneur with expertise as a web developer, digital marketer, copywriter, conversion optimizer, AI enthusiast, and overall talent stacker. He combines his technical skills with real estate knowledge to provide valuable insights and help people make informed decisions in their property journey.

Related Articles

← Back to Blog