52 cities with year-over-year price decreases
-43.2%
Biggest Drop
-10.4%
Avg Decline
Price drops can signal buying opportunities. These markets may offer better negotiating leverage and more affordable entry points compared to last year.
| # | City | YoY Change | Median Price | Days on Market | Months Supply |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nogales | -43.2% | $125K | 55 days | 5.0 mo |
| 2 | Wickenburg | -40.3% | $365K | 100 days | 4.3 mo |
| 3 | Carefree | -40.0% | $1.05M | 73 days | 9.4 mo |
| 4 | Linden | -33.0% | $375K | 58 days | 2.8 mo |
| 5 | Cottonwood | -21.8% | $385K | 36 days | 3.9 mo |
| 6 | Valle Vista | -21.0% | $237K | 39 days | 3.2 mo |
| 7 | Show Low | -20.3% | $438K | 80 days | 9.8 mo |
| 8 | Eloy | -20.3% | $255K | 90 days | 3.8 mo |
| 9 | Strawberry | -19.5% | $398K | 104 days | 3.0 mo |
| 10 | Chino Valley | -18.6% | $415K | 127 days | 3.2 mo |
| 11 | Lake Montezuma | -17.3% | $323K | 97 days | 3.7 mo |
| 12 | Marana | -14.8% | $390K | 76 days | 5.3 mo |
| 13 | Tucson Mountains | -13.2% | $575K | 128 days | 3.9 mo |
| 14 | Village of Oak Creek (Big Park) | -12.8% | $750K | 82 days | 5.7 mo |
| 15 | Casas Adobes | -12.5% | $350K | 69 days | 3.2 mo |
| 16 | Payson | -11.9% | $475K | 100 days | 3.3 mo |
| 17 | Drexel Heights | -11.8% | $270K | 92 days | 2.8 mo |
| 18 | Valencia West | -11.4% | $327K | 55 days | 4.2 mo |
| 19 | Verde Village | -11.0% | $380K | 43 days | 5.6 mo |
| 20 | Sun City | -10.8% | $261K | 64 days | 4.9 mo |
| 21 | Oro Valley | -10.7% | $500K | 82 days | 3.7 mo |
| 22 | Sahuarita | -10.5% | $340K | 82 days | 4.5 mo |
| 23 | Doney Park | -9.3% | $703K | 64 days | 1.5 mo |
| 24 | Kingman | -7.9% | $291K | 32 days | 3.1 mo |
| 25 | Arizona City | -7.5% | $235K | 64 days | 4.8 mo |
| 26 | Lake Havasu City | -7.4% | $450K | 58 days | 4.6 mo |
| 27 | Bullhead City | -6.8% | $308K | 44 days | 4.1 mo |
| 28 | Maricopa | -6.7% | $335K | 100 days | 4.1 mo |
| 29 | Williamson | -6.3% | $862K | 80 days | 6.2 mo |
| 30 | Sun Lakes | -5.1% | $467K | 69 days | 4.3 mo |
| 31 | Fort Mohave | -5.0% | $308K | 47 days | 3.5 mo |
| 32 | Buckeye | -4.8% | $395K | 76 days | 4.1 mo |
| 33 | Prescott Valley | -4.4% | $441K | 84 days | 3.6 mo |
| 34 | Rio Rico | -4.2% | $275K | 91 days | 4.3 mo |
| 35 | Peoria | -4.1% | $516K | 74 days | 3.0 mo |
| 36 | Fortuna Foothills | -4.1% | $321K | 75 days | 5.4 mo |
| 37 | Flagstaff | -3.7% | $710K | 85 days | 2.6 mo |
| 38 | El Mirage | -3.6% | $350K | 71 days | 3.2 mo |
| 39 | San Manuel | -3.4% | $169K | 90 days | 4.6 mo |
| 40 | Tucson | -2.6% | $320K | 74 days | 3.9 mo |
| 41 | Casa Grande | -2.4% | $332K | 84 days | 4.1 mo |
| 42 | Avondale | -2.2% | $418K | 62 days | 4.6 mo |
| 43 | Sierra Vista | -1.8% | $291K | 57 days | 3.4 mo |
| 44 | Scottsdale | -1.7% | $995K | 60 days | 4.1 mo |
| 45 | San Tan Valley | -1.4% | $419K | 65 days | 3.5 mo |
| 46 | Surprise | -1.3% | $419K | 71 days | 4.2 mo |
| 47 | Coolidge | -1.3% | $282K | 78 days | 2.4 mo |
| 48 | Chandler | -1.0% | $525K | 62 days | 2.7 mo |
| 49 | Vail | -0.7% | $358K | 117 days | 4.8 mo |
| 50 | Phoenix | -0.7% | $457K | 64 days | 3.4 mo |
| 51 | Florence | -0.6% | $352K | 91 days | 4.5 mo |
| 52 | Gold Canyon | -0.4% | $503K | 59 days | 8.3 mo |
52 cities in Arizona are experiencing year-over-year price declines. The largest drop is in Nogales at -43.2%.
Price drops can create buying opportunities, but timing the market is difficult. Work with a local agent who understands whether a market is stabilizing or may continue to decline.
Several Arizona cities are experiencing year-over-year price declines. Our data tracks median home prices across all major Arizona markets, updated regularly. Check the city list above to see which areas have the largest price drops and best buying opportunities.
Price drops typically occur when housing inventory increases faster than buyer demand. Contributing factors in Arizona include rising inventory from new construction, higher mortgage rates reducing buyer purchasing power, and market corrections in areas that saw rapid price appreciation.
Market forecasts vary by city. Areas with growing inventory and slowing demand may see continued price softening, while cities with strong job growth and limited supply tend to stabilize. Monitor months of supply and price trends in your target Arizona city for the most accurate picture.
Falling prices can present excellent buying opportunities, especially if you're planning to stay long-term. The key is understanding whether the decline is a temporary correction or a deeper structural issue. A local Arizona agent can help you evaluate specific neighborhoods and identify properties priced below market value.
Price changes vary significantly across Arizona cities. Some areas have seen modest 1-3% declines, while others may show larger drops of 5% or more. Use our city-level data above to see the exact year-over-year price change for each market.
Work with a local agent who can help you identify value in changing markets.
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